Breaking
“Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?” YES price jumps 22.5 pp to 55.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity of $20K net buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise, pushing odds well above on-chain mid estimates.
Jul 12
#%sprice-move
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 533 stories.
Breaking
‘Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?’ YES price jumps 36.0 pp to 55.5%
Whales supported the surge with $166K net inflow into YES, pushing the Polymarket price well above on-chain midpoints.
Jul 12
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds plunge 37.2 pp in 24 hours on Polymarket
YES contract price drops from 37.7% to 0.45% despite no whale buying, signaling market skepticism.
Jul 12
Breaking
Yes price on Brittany Mahomes attending Swift wedding jumps 22.9 points with whale support
Whales added net $2K to YES as Polymarket's odds surged from 64.0% to 87.0% in 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? YES odds jump 25.5pp to 59% on Polymarket
Whales supported the surge with $18K net buys, pushing the market well above on-chain mid-price
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Shipping Attack Odds Surge 86.1 Points Amid Whale Buying
Whale net inflows of $6K matched a sharp rise in the chance Iran targets shipping on July 12, pushing YES price to 89.5%.
Jul 12
Breaking
YES price surges 78.2 pp to 81.8% on ‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?’
Whales bought $5K net into YES, aligning with the sharp 24-hour price jump on Polymarket.
Jul 12
Breaking
US Iran blockade odds jump 28 pp to 49.5% as whales back YES with $158K flow
Whale buying and price moves aligned sharply in the last 24 hours on Polymarket's Iran blockade market.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?” YES price drops 34pp in 24h
Polymarket’s price plunge to 36.5% on the Strait of Hormuz transit question contrasts with whale flow, signaling market uncertainty.
Jul 12
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on 40 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz drops 31.5 pp in 24h
Price and whale flow diverged sharply as market probability fell from 71.0% to 39.5% despite no whale buying support.
Jul 12