Polymarket weather: forecasters disagree 2°C on Chongqing, $42K on London

+35.4 pp Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026: +35.4 pp → 77.2% Polymarket +30.0 pp Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August: +30.0 pp → 80.0% Polymarket +29.6 pp US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026: +29.6 pp → 44.5% Polymarket -28.5 pp Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31: -28.5 pp → 38.0% Polymarket -26.0 pp Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee: -26.0 pp → 61.5% Polymarket -26.0 pp Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this…: -26.0 pp → 11.5% Polymarket -23.0 pp Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570…: -23.0 pp → 40.5% Polymarket +22.9 pp Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries: +22.9 pp → 95.5% Polymarket +19.5 pp Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia: +19.5 pp → 68.0% Polymarket +17.0 pp US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31: +17.0 pp → 79.5% Polymarket +16.9 pp Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys: +16.9 pp → 97.4% Polymarket -15.5 pp Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026: -15.5 pp → 36.0% Polymarket +13.5 pp Will STRC hit $100 by September 30: +13.5 pp → 33.5% Polymarket -12.5 pp Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee: -12.5 pp → 58.0% Polymarket +12.5 pp Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July: +12.5 pp → 40.0% Polymarket +11.4 pp Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year: +11.4 pp → 27.4% Polymarket +10.5 pp Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be ex…: +10.5 pp → 83.0% Polymarket +10.0 pp Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30: +10.0 pp → 33.5% Polymarket -10.0 pp Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap …: -10.0 pp → 10.5% Polymarket