Breaking
US Iran blockade market jumps 22pp as whales add $27K to YES
Polymarket’s US blockade question shifts sharply higher with whale activity reinforcing the move amid a volume spike.
Jul 12
#%sprice-move
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 533 stories.
Breaking
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? YES price drops 16pp despite $40K whale inflow
Whales bought $40K into YES as Polymarket’s Breaking price plunged from 58.5% to 42.5%, signaling a sharp market reassessment.
Jul 12
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Drop 17.5 Points in 24 Hours
Despite a sharp fall in the YES price, whale activity diverged by not supporting the move on Polymarket.
Jul 12
Breaking
‘Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift’s wedding?’ YES price jumps 16.7 pp to 87.5%
Whales increased exposure with $2K net buys, reinforcing a sharp market repricing over 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?” YES price jumps 20 pp to 51.5%
Whales backed the sharp 24-hour price rise with $27K net inflow into YES contracts, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?” YES price plunges 62.5pp to 0.05% despite $40K whale buying
Whale activity diverges sharply from a dramatic market sell-off, pushing the YES price down from 62.5% to near zero in 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
Hanwha Life Esports YES contract jumps 74.5 points to 100% on Polymarket
A $37K whale net inflow accompanied the sharp 24-hour price gain, aligning big-money bets with the market move.
Jul 12
Breaking
Hanwha Life Esports MSI 2026 Win Contract Surges 44.5pp to 70% on Polymarket
Whales contributed $31K net buying as the market sharply lifted odds on Hanwha Life Esports’ MSI victory.
Jul 12
Breaking
US Iran blockade odds surge 34.5 pp to 53% as whales back YES with $171K net flow
The market for a US blockade on Iran by July 31 saw a sharp repricing alongside aligned whale buying, signaling a major shift in sentiment.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Shipping Attack Odds Surge 91 Points as Whales Back YES by $11K
Whale buying aligned with a massive jump from 2.2% to 93.2% in the market on Iran targeting shipping July 12.
Jul 12