Whales
Whales Pour $412K Into France Win at 39.0% Market Price
Significant whale buying in France’s 2026 World Cup win market contrasts with a sub-40% implied probability, highlighting a split between big-money flow and crowd pricing.
Jul 13
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Odds for Pamela Evette as South Carolina GOP Senate Nominee Drop 22pp in 24h
Pamela Evette's chance to secure the Republican Senate nomination fell sharply despite whale buying diverging from price action.
Jul 13
Breaking
YES price surges 47pp to 84.5% on $30M Credible sale market with whale flows confirming
Whales contributed $13K net buying as Polymarket’s market sharply repriced the likelihood of the Credible public sale surpassing $30M.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action market surges 70.6 pp to 91.7% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price gains aligned as odds for Iran's Gulf strike jumped sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 45.9 pp to 94.9%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in odds, pushing the market near certainty within 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds jump 35pp to 59% on whale-backed surge
Whales contributed $14K net buying as Polymarket odds for Iran targeting shipping on July 13 rose sharply.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran shipping attack market surges 48pp to 71.2% as whales back YES
Whales and retail traders moved in tandem, pushing the probability sharply higher on July 13 Iran shipping attack scenario.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES jumps 50pp to 87.5% on whale support
Whales contributed $13K net buying as the market’s YES price doubled in 24 hours, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES jumps 44.5 pp to 83.0% in 24h
Whale activity aligned with the sharp rally, pushing the market from 38.5% to 83.0% YES probability.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action on July 9? YES price jumps 54.2 pp to 75.8%
Whale trading aligned with a sharp rise in odds, signaling increased market conviction on military action in the Gulf.
Jul 13