Pamela Evette Senate Replacement Odds Plunge 64.5 Points Amid Divergent Whale Activity
YES contract on Pamela Evette replacing Senator Graham dropped from 65.6% to 1.1% despite whale flow opposing the move.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
YES contract on Pamela Evette replacing Senator Graham dropped from 65.6% to 1.1% despite whale flow opposing the move.
A sharp 73.4 percentage point drop in YES price contrasts with whale flow diverging from the market's direction.
Whales bought $6K into YES contracts even as market odds dropped from 67.5% to 45.5% in 24 hours.
The YES contract’s price fell sharply from 62.5% to 40.5% while whales bought $16K net, signaling a divergence between price action and whale flow.
Whale bets and price shifts aligned as market sharply repriced likelihood of Iran striking a Gulf State on July 9
Whales supported the big repricing with $12K net inflow as Polymarket’s odds sharply shifted higher.
The Polymarket contract on Iran's military action against a Gulf State saw a sharp repricing alongside aligned whale bets, signaling heightened conviction.
Whale buying backed the sharp 25-point rise in odds for Healey to become UK Defence Secretary by 2026.
Despite a sharp 46.0 percentage point drop in YES price, whale flow diverged by not backing the move, signaling conflicting market signals.
Whale activity aligned with the sharp price rise, adding $5K net into YES contracts amid $9K total 24h volume.