The market “Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?” saw its YES contract price surge by 45.9 percentage points over the past 24 hours, rising from an estimated 49.0% to 94.9% as of July 13, 2026. This dramatic increase signals a swift and decisive shift in market sentiment about the public sale reaching this funding threshold.
Whale trading activity moved in tandem with the price change, confirming the upward trend. The alignment between large investor flow and the price rise suggests a strong consensus among influential participants driving the market toward near certainty. The total 24-hour trading volume on Polymarket for this contract was $60K, indicating active engagement from a broad range of traders alongside the whales.
This combination of a steep price increase and confirming whale flow highlights growing confidence that the Credible public sale will surpass $25 million in commitments. The market’s rapid repricing reflects updated information or sentiment that has significantly altered expectations. Such a near doubling in implied probability within a day points to a decisive moment in the market’s assessment of this event’s likelihood.
| Market | Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2845811 |
| 24h price change | +45.9 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 94.9% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 49.0% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | — |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $0 |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | — / — |
| Unique whales (24h) | — |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $60K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | — |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-13. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.