Polymarket saw a sharp 22.0 percentage point drop in the YES price for the market “Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?” over the past 24 hours, falling from an estimated 33.0% to 11.0% as of the July 13 snapshot. This steep decline in market-implied probability signals a significant shift in sentiment against Evette’s nomination prospects.
Interestingly, whale activity diverged from this price move. Despite the YES price dropping sharply, whales did not reduce their net exposure to YES contracts, indicating a disconnect between large traders’ flow and the overall market tape. The 24-hour volume on Polymarket for this contract was $10K, a moderate level of activity that accompanied this repricing.
The mismatch between whale flow and price action adds complexity to interpreting this market’s current state.
In sum, the combined picture of a 22.0 pp drop in YES price alongside whale flow moving against the tape points to a contested market view on Pamela Evette’s Republican nomination odds in South Carolina as of mid-July 2026.
| Market | Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2896075 |
| 24h price change | +22.0 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 11.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 33.0% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | — |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $0 |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | — / — |
| Unique whales (24h) | — |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $10K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | — |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-13. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.