Breaking
US blockade on Iran odds jump 24pp to 55.5% as whales boost YES bets
Polymarket's latest pricing shows a sharp shift in expectations, backed by $24K net whale inflows into YES contracts.
Jul 12
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? YES odds jump 25.5pp to 59% on Polymarket
Whales supported the surge with $18K net buys, pushing the market well above on-chain mid-price
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Shipping Attack Odds Surge 86.1 Points Amid Whale Buying
Whale net inflows of $6K matched a sharp rise in the chance Iran targets shipping on July 12, pushing YES price to 89.5%.
Jul 12
Breaking
‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?’ YES price jumps 69.3 points on whale buying
Whales pushed $5K net into YES as Polymarket odds surged from 3.5% to 72.9% in 24 hours, signaling rapid repricing.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 60.5pp to 70% on July 12 on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with sharp repricing as market shifts from 9.5% to 70% probability in 24 hours
Jul 12
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Plunge 30.7 Points in 24 Hours on Polymarket
Despite a sharp 30.6 pp drop in YES price, whale activity diverged by not backing the decline in SpaceX launch odds.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds surge 82.9 pp to 86.4% with whale buying
Whales aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in Polymarket odds for Iran targeting shipping on July 12.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 70.5 points to 80% as whales back surge
Whale activity matched a sharp repricing in the Polymarket market on Iran's potential Gulf military action July 12
Jul 12
Breaking
YES price surges 78.2 pp to 81.8% on ‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?’
Whales bought $5K net into YES, aligning with the sharp 24-hour price jump on Polymarket.
Jul 12
Breaking
US blockade on Iran odds jump 20pp to 51.5%, whales back the move with $23K net flow
Polymarket’s “Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?” saw a sharp rise in YES price accompanied by strong whale buying activity.
Jul 12