Whales
Whales add $252K to YES on Argentina’s 2026 World Cup win as price lingers at 1.9%
Large traders accumulate YES positions despite low market-implied probability, highlighting a divergence in sentiment ahead of market close.
Jul 7
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Whales
Whales Net $1.69M Into YES on Belgium World Cup Win Despite 2.2% Market Price
The largest wallets are increasing their exposure to Belgium winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, diverging sharply from the market consensus.
Jul 7
Whales
Whales Push $642K into USA Win at 0.05% Market Price for 2026 World Cup
Significant whale buying contrasts sharply with the market’s low valuation of a U.S. victory in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Jul 7
Whales
$1.53M Whale Net Flow Into YES on Egypt World Cup Win at 0.35% Market Price
Whales have bought $7.98M against $1.04M sold in the Egypt 2026 World Cup market despite a sub-1% market-implied probability.
Jul 7
Whales
Whales add $268K to England World Cup 2026 YES at 14.5% market price
Despite a 14.5% market-implied probability, whales bought $268K net on England winning the 2026 World Cup, signaling a divergence from the crowd.
Jul 6
Whales
$926K Whale Net Flow Contrasts 0.05% Price on Mexico 2026 World Cup Win
Whales have pushed $926K net into Mexico’s 2026 World Cup win bet despite a market price near zero, signaling a sharp split between big-money bets and consensus odds.
Jul 6
Whales
Whales Bet $544K on Brazil Winning 2026 World Cup Despite 0.05% Market Price
Large traders are increasing exposure to Brazil in the World Cup market while overall prices remain near zero.
Jul 6
Whales
$1.18M net whale inflow contrasts with 1.4% price on Belgium 2026 World Cup win
Whales invested heavily in Belgium despite the market pricing their victory at just 1.4%, highlighting a divergence between large traders and overall market consensus.
Jul 6
Whales
Whales net $1.32M betting Morocco will win 2026 World Cup as market prices YES at 2.5%
Despite the market pricing Morocco’s 2026 World Cup win at 2.5%, whales have pushed $1.32M net into YES in the last 24 hours, diverging from consensus.
Jul 6
Whales
$372K Buy on Morocco World Cup Win Defies 2.5% Market Odds
A single wallet wagered $372K on Morocco to win the 2026 World Cup, challenging a low 2.5% market probability amid heavy whale activity.
Jul 6