Pamela Evette’s Nomination Odds Drop 27pp to 9.5% Amid Divergent Whale Flow
Polymarket’s South Carolina Senate GOP nominee market saw a sharp 27.0 pp decline in YES price while whale bets moved against the price trend.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 72 stories.
Polymarket’s South Carolina Senate GOP nominee market saw a sharp 27.0 pp decline in YES price while whale bets moved against the price trend.
Whales contributed $13K net buying as the market’s YES price doubled in 24 hours, signaling strong conviction.
Whales supported the big repricing with $12K net inflow as Polymarket’s odds sharply shifted higher.
Whale flow aligned with a sharp rise in odds, pushing the market from 45.5% to 86.0% in 24 hours on Polymarket.
Whale activity confirmed the sharp 24-hour repricing on Polymarket, pushing odds well above the halfway mark.
Polymarket’s key contract on a US blockade of Iran surges as whale buying aligns with a sharp price rally, despite on-chain data showing lower odds.
Polymarket price for Pamela Evette replacing Senator Graham plunged from 45.5% to 5.1%, while whale flow diverged by not supporting the sharp decline.
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 25 percentage point drop in market odds on Polymarket for Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by July 31.
Whales pushed $4K into YES contracts as market odds on Iran targeting shipping on July 13 rose sharply.
Whale buying aligned with a sharp rise in YES price, pushing odds from 65.3% to 88.6% in 24 hours