The Polymarket question “Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?” saw its YES contract price surge 40.5 percentage points over the past 24 hours, climbing from approximately 45.5% to 86.0% as of July 13, 2026. This represents a dramatic revaluation of the market’s implied probability that the funding milestone will be reached.
Notably, whale activity moved in tandem with this price shift, confirming the directional conviction behind the repricing. The alignment of large-scale trades with the rising price suggests institutional or high-net-worth participants are backing the outcome more aggressively. The combined 24-hour volume on Polymarket for this market was $30K, indicating meaningful liquidity and engagement despite the rapid odds adjustment.
This price and flow dynamic points to a growing consensus among major traders that the Credible public sale will surpass the $25 million commitment threshold. The scale of the price jump, supported by whale flow, signals increased confidence in the event’s success, making this one of the clearest short-term sentiment shifts on Polymarket’s platform.
| Market | Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2845811 |
| 24h price change | +40.5 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 86.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 45.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | — |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $0 |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | — / — |
| Unique whales (24h) | — |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $30K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | — |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-13. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.