The Polymarket contract “Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” saw its YES price climb 53.5 percentage points in the last 24 hours, jumping from 38.0% to 91.5% as of the July 13 snapshot. This dramatic repricing coincided with whale activity that aligned with the price move, as 40 unique whales bought a net $12K worth of YES contracts, with $19K in buy volume and $7K in sell volume.
Despite a relatively modest total 24-hour volume of $18K on Polymarket, the whale flow indicates concentrated interest driving the market higher. The lifetime volume for this market stands at $33K, with 78 unique traders having participated overall. Notably, the Polymarket Breaking YES price at 91.5% contrasts sharply with the Polydata on-chain mid-price of 42.5%, highlighting a divergence between the platform’s live odds and the broader on-chain data snapshot.
This combined picture of a large, rapid price increase supported by whale buying suggests growing conviction among major participants that the Credible public sale will exceed $30 million in commitments. The alignment of whale flow with the surge in YES price typically signals confidence rather than speculative noise, marking a significant shift in market sentiment for this event.
| Market | Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2845812 |
| 24h price change | +53.5 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 91.5% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 38.0% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 42.5% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $12K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $19K / $7K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 40 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $18K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 78 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-13. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.