Breaking
“Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 45.9 pp to 94.9%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in odds, pushing the market near certainty within 24 hours.
Jul 13
#%sprice movement
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 133 stories.
Breaking
Pamela Evette Senate odds plunge 73.4 points to 1.2% despite whale buying
A sharp 73.4 percentage point drop in YES price contrasts with whale flow diverging from the market's direction.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?” YES price drops 22 pp despite $16K whale buys
The YES contract’s price fell sharply from 62.5% to 40.5% while whales bought $16K net, signaling a divergence between price action and whale flow.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?” YES price plunges 46pp in 24h
Despite a sharp 46.0 percentage point drop in YES price, whale flow diverged by not backing the move, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? YES odds jump 58.5 pp to 77.0%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour surge in market confidence on Polymarket, pushing YES odds from 18.5% to 77.0%.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds jump 25.7 points to 47.9% with whale support
Polymarket’s “Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?” market sees price and whale flow rise in tandem, signaling growing conviction.
Jul 13
Breaking
US blockade on Iran by July 31? YES odds drop 21 pp despite $101K whale buying
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 21-point drop in YES price, signaling conflicting forces in the market.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?” YES price jumps 16.6 pp to 91.2%
Whales added $7K net to YES contracts as market odds surged from 74.6% to 91.2% in 24 hours
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran Shipping Target Market YES Price Surges 34pp to 45.6% with Whale Support
Whales added $5K net into YES as Polymarket’s odds for Iran targeting shipping on July 13 rose sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran Shipping Target Market Soars 88.6pp to 90.9% as Whales Back Move
Whales contributed $11K net buying in line with a dramatic 24-hour rise from 2.3% to 90.9% on Polymarket.
Jul 12