Breaking
“Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 53.5 pp to 41.5%
The sharp drop in YES odds contrasts with $30K whale buying, revealing a divergence between price action and whale flow.
Jul 14
#%sprice movement
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 133 stories.
Breaking
Odds for 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, plunge 59.8 pp on Polymarket
Whale activity diverged from price, with $30K net flow into YES while odds dropped sharply.
Jul 14
Breaking
Polymarket YES price for 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz plunges 64.4 pp in 24h
Price drop contrasts with $30K whale net inflow, signaling conflicting market signals on transit likelihood.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 65.8 pp to 30.0% on Polymarket
Whale flow diverged sharply from price action as Polymarket’s YES contract dropped from 95.8% to 30.0%, signaling a market rift.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, plunge 63.5pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s YES price dropped from 95.8% to 32.2% despite $22K whale buys, signaling conflicting signals between price action and whale trading.
Jul 14
Breaking
YES price on Strait of Hormuz transit plunges 65.5 pp despite $16K whale inflows
Polymarket’s YES contract for 30 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, dropped from 95.8% to 30.2% in 24 hours while whale buying increased.
Jul 14
Breaking
Houthis shipping attack odds plunge 34.1pp to 15.5% despite whale buying
Polymarket’s “Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?” market saw a sharp drop in YES price while whale flow diverged, signaling conflicting signals.
Jul 14
Breaking
John Pardon’s 2026 Fields Medal odds jump 16.4 pp to 97.9% with whale buying
Whales aligned with price, driving $4K net flow into YES as market volume hits $10K in 24 hours
Jul 14
Breaking
UK Foreign Secretary Market Jumps 19pp to 63.5% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp 19.0 percentage-point rise in the ‘no next Foreign Secretary’ market, aligning with the tape amid a rare price divergence on-chain.
Jul 14
Breaking
YES price surges 40pp to 76.5% on $30M Credible public sale market with whale flow supporting move
Whales contributed a net $14K into YES as Polymarket’s price jumped from 36.5% to 76.5%, signaling strong conviction in the public sale outcome.
Jul 13