The market for “Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?” saw a dramatic shift as the YES price collapsed by 46.0 percentage points in the past 24 hours, falling from 46.3% to just 0.35%.
This steep decline reflects a rapid re-evaluation of Evette’s chances among traders on Polymarket, where $21K in volume was recorded during the same period. However, whale activity did not follow this price plunge; on-chain data shows that large traders did not increase their net positions on YES, indicating a divergence between price action and whale flow.
The lack of whale alignment with the sharp price move suggests uncertainty or disagreement among the largest market participants about the sudden shift in consensus odds. Such divergence can imply that the price drop was driven by smaller traders or speculative flows rather than conviction from deep-pocketed investors.
This dynamic complicates the interpretation of the market’s outlook on Pamela Evette’s potential Senate replacement, highlighting a split between the broader market’s rapid repricing and whale hesitancy to commit to the new consensus. The divergence signals a contested narrative about the outcome’s likelihood, underscoring an unsettled market environment for this contract as of July 13, 2026.
| Market | Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2896160 |
| 24h price change | +46.0 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 0.35% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 46.3% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | — |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $0 |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | — / — |
| Unique whales (24h) | — |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $21K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | — |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-13. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.