Breaking
Iran Shipping Attack Odds Surge 89.9pp to 93.8% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with sharp price rise as market reprices likelihood of Iran targeting shipping on July 12.
Jul 12
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Miami median home value odds jump 23pp to 59.5% as whales buy $4K in YES
Polymarket’s Miami home value market rises sharply with whale buying aligning to price surge, signaling increased confidence in the outcome.
Jul 11
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Strait of Hormuz transit drops 23pp despite whale outflows
The market for 40 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, saw its YES price fall from 67.5% to 44.5% as whale activity diverged from the price move.
Jul 11
Breaking
Miami median home value market jumps 29.5 points as whales buy $4K in YES
Price and whale flow moved together as odds for Miami home values rose sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 11
Breaking
US Iran blockade odds jump 19.5 points to 41% with $95K whale buys
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise on Polymarket’s Iran blockade question.
Jul 11
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds drop 22 pp to 34.5% amid whale buying divergence
Whales pumped $43K into YES contracts even as Polymarket prices pulled sharply lower, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 11
Breaking
US Iran blockade market jumps 22.5 points as whales push YES to 44.5%
Whale buying of $95K drove a sharp 24-hour rise in odds for a US blockade on Iran by July 31, aligning with price moves.
Jul 11
Whales
@Sisyphus. places $550K bet on England to win at 51.6% market price
Top trader @Sisyphus. backs England in Norway matchup with largest Polymarket trade in 24 hours, aligning with whale buying momentum.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran Hormuz attack contract YES price plunges 16.7pp despite whale buying
Polymarket’s market on Iran not attacking ships in Hormuz by Sunday dropped from 18.0% to 1.4% even as whales increased YES positions.
Jul 11
Breaking
US Iran blockade odds jump 18pp to 39.5% with $94K whale support
Whales boosted the 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?' market alongside a sharp price rise, signaling renewed conviction.
Jul 11