A single $550K buy order on the market “Will England win on 2026-07-11?” stands out as the largest trade on Polymarket in the past 24 hours. The purchase was made by wallet @Sisyphus., known for a strong track record with 81.7% accuracy across 5,891 resolved positions and a Brier score of 0.1113, indicating reliable forecasting ability.
This trade took place within the Norway vs. England event, where the market-implied probability of England winning was 51.6% at the time of the bet. The total market volume for this event has reached $21.71M, with whale participants collectively buying $12.79M against $5.87M sold over the last 24 hours by 1,916 unique whales. @Sisyphus.’s large buy aligns with this broader whale buying trend, reinforcing the momentum behind backing England.
The wallet’s lifetime activity includes $248.06M in volume, 399,374 trades, and participation in 15,665 markets, underscoring its significant presence in prediction markets. The size of this bet, combined with the wallet’s proven record, adds weight to this positioning in a market where the consensus probability sits just above even odds.
This trade highlights a notable concentration of capital on England within a highly liquid market, reflecting confidence from a top trader in an outcome priced at a modest majority probability. The move signals substantial commitment amid broad whale buying activity ahead of the Norway vs. England match set for July 2026.
| Direction | BUY |
|---|---|
| Market | Will England win on 2026-07-11? |
| Event | Norway vs. England |
| Wallet | @Sisyphus. · 0xfc25f141ed27bb1787338d2c4e7f51e3a15e1f7f |
| Amount | $550K |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/moves · snapshot 2026-07-11T23:16:01Z. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.