The Polymarket question “Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?” saw its YES contract surge by 29.5 percentage points in the last 24 hours, climbing from 36.5% to 66.0%.
This sharp increase in market-implied probability was backed by whale activity, with 29 unique whales contributing $7K in buy volume and $3K in sell volume, resulting in a net $4K inflow into YES positions. The 24-hour trading volume on this market totaled $7K, close to its lifetime volume of $10K, indicating concentrated recent interest.
Notably, the Polymarket Breaking YES price of 66.0% contrasts with the Polydata on-chain mid price of 31.0%, signaling a significant divergence between the live market and the on-chain overview.
The alignment of whale flow and price movement suggests that large traders are driving the repricing rather than reacting against it. This coordinated surge in both price and whale demand points to growing confidence among traders about the Miami median home value falling within the specified range by the end of September.
With 71 unique traders involved overall, this market is experiencing heightened activity and a fundamental shift in sentiment as reflected by the combined flow and price data.
| Market | Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2760533 |
| 24h price change | +29.5 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 66.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 36.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 31.0% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $4K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $7K / $3K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 29 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $7K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 71 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-12. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.