Whales
$485K Sell Trade on Norway World Cup Win Counters Whale Buying
A single $485K sell order on Norway’s 2026 World Cup win contrasts with $7.48M whale buying in the same market over 24 hours.
Jul 12
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Odds for 40 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026 drop 37pp in 24h
Polymarket's market on Strait of Hormuz ship traffic saw a sharp decline in YES price amid diverging whale activity.
Jul 12
Whales
$433K Buy Order Bets Against 1.7% Market Probability for Switzerland in 2026 World Cup
A single large trade on Switzerland’s World Cup win market contrasts with the low implied odds and joins broader whale buying activity.
Jul 12
Breaking
YES price on Hormuz ship transit plunges 52.5 points as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s contract on 40 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 2026 saw a sharp repricing amid contrasting whale activity.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?” YES price jumps 29.0 pp to 70.0%
Whales supported the sharp 24-hour rise in odds with $18K net inflow, aligning with the price move.
Jul 12
Breaking
YES price on 40 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz drops 33pp to 36.5% as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s market on Strait of Hormuz ship traffic sees a sharp 33 percentage point drop in YES odds, while whale activity contradicts the price move.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?” YES price jumps 84.5 pp to 88.9% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with rapid surge in YES odds, signaling strong conviction behind the dramatic repricing.
Jul 12
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? YES price drops 27pp in 24h amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket’s YES contract for a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026, fell sharply despite whales buying $41K into YES, signaling a split between price action and whale behavior.
Jul 12
Breaking
Odds for 40 Ships Transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, Drop 30pp in 24h
Whale activity diverged from the sharp price decline, signaling mixed market signals on this maritime transit event.
Jul 12
Daily
Polymarket Posts $90.81M in 24-Hour Volume, Surpassing Weekly Average by 8.1%
Trading activity on Polymarket reached 2.7 million trades across nearly 84,000 wallets, highlighting sustained platform engagement.
Jul 12