Breaking
Iran Shipping Attack Odds Surge 93.3 Points as Whales Back YES with $11K Flow
Market for Iran targeting shipping on July 12 jumps from 2.3% to 95.7% with whale buying supporting the move.
Jul 12
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Bilibili Gaming MSI win odds plunge 51pp despite $36K whale buying
Whales increased YES exposure by $36K while market price for Bilibili Gaming’s MSI 2026 victory dropped from 67.5% to 16.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
LPL MSI 2026 win odds plunge 57.5pp as whale buying diverges from price
YES price on Polymarket dropped from 70.5% to 13.0% despite $42K whale net inflow into YES contracts.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran shipping target odds surge 86.2 points to 88.4% with whale buying
Whales backed the sharp jump in probability for Iran targeting shipping on July 12, adding $11K net to YES contracts amid $18K total volume.
Jul 12
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds plunge 40.4 pp in 24 hours
Polymarket’s YES contract for a July 15 launch dropped from 40.9% to 0.55% even as whale activity diverged from the price move.
Jul 12
Breaking
US blockade on Iran odds jump 36.5pp to 56% as whales back YES with $168K net flow
Polymarket’s US blockade on Iran market saw a sharp odds shift aligned with whale buying, signaling strong conviction in a July 31 announcement.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 33.5 points to 44% on July 12 news
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?” contract saw aligned whale bets and price surge, signaling a sharp reassessment of the risk.
Jul 12
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Collapse 48.3 Points in 24 Hours
Polymarket’s “Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?” market dropped from 48.8% to 0.45% despite no whale buying in YES contracts.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?” YES price surges 90.6 pp to 92.9% on whale support
Whales backed a dramatic odds shift on Polymarket as the YES contract jumped from 2.3% to 92.9% in 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Drop 15pp Despite Whale Selling
Polymarket’s market for a July 15 launch of Starship Flight Test 13 fell from 15.5% to 0.45% in 24 hours, while whale flow diverged by net selling YES contracts.
Jul 12