Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds jump 88.8 pp to 91.0% as whales back YES
Whale activity and a rapid price surge aligned as the market repriced the chance of an Iranian attack on shipping on July 12.
Jul 12
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
US Iran blockade odds climb 17.5 points as whales back YES with $29K net flow
Polymarket’s 24-hour price surge to 58.5% on US blockade question matched by strong whale buying signals increased conviction.
Jul 12
Breaking
Polymarket’s Iran shipping target yes contract jumps 93.1 pp to 95.3% with whale buying
Whales bought $11K into yes as the probability surged from 2.2% to 95.3% in 24 hours on Iran’s July 12 shipping target market.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?” YES price plunges 57.5pp in 24h despite $30K whale buys
Polymarket’s YES contract for an LPL MSI 2026 win fell from 57.5% to 0.05%, diverging sharply from whale buying activity.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Shipping Target Market Soars 88.6pp to 90.9% as Whales Back Move
Whales contributed $11K net buying in line with a dramatic 24-hour rise from 2.3% to 90.9% on Polymarket.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 70pp to 77.5% with whale support
Polymarket’s ‘Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?’ contract jumps sharply as whale activity aligns with price move.
Jul 12
Breaking
US blockade on Iran odds jump 23.5pp as whales push $26K into YES
Polymarket’s contract on a US blockade of Iran by August 31 saw its YES price rise from 31.5% to 55.0%, driven by aligned whale buying.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?” YES price jumps 30pp to 62.5% with $24K whale inflow
Whales boosted their bets alongside a sharp 30 percentage point rise in Polymarket odds for Russian capture by end of July.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?” YES price plunges 56.5pp amid whale flow-price divergence
Polymarket’s YES price for an LPL MSI 2026 victory falls from 56.5% to 0.05%, while whales add $36K into YES, signaling conflicting signals.
Jul 12
Breaking
Bilibili Gaming’s MSI 2026 odds plunge 56.5pp as whale flow bucks price move
Whales bought $28K into YES while the market’s probability collapsed from 56.5% to 0.05%, signaling conflicting signals on Bilibili’s chances.
Jul 12