Breaking
US Iran blockade odds jump 19.5 points to 41% with $95K whale buys
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise on Polymarket’s Iran blockade question.
Jul 11
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Miami Home Value Market Jumps 26.5 Points as Whales Back YES with $4K Net Flow
Polymarket’s Miami home value contract surged from 36.5% to 63.0% YES price, driven by aligned whale buying of $7K volume.
Jul 11
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds drop 22 pp to 34.5% amid whale buying divergence
Whales pumped $43K into YES contracts even as Polymarket prices pulled sharply lower, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 11
Breaking
US Iran blockade market jumps 22.5 points as whales push YES to 44.5%
Whale buying of $95K drove a sharp 24-hour rise in odds for a US blockade on Iran by July 31, aligning with price moves.
Jul 11
Whales
@Sisyphus. places $550K bet on England to win at 51.6% market price
Top trader @Sisyphus. backs England in Norway matchup with largest Polymarket trade in 24 hours, aligning with whale buying momentum.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran Hormuz attack contract YES price plunges 16.7pp despite whale buying
Polymarket’s market on Iran not attacking ships in Hormuz by Sunday dropped from 18.0% to 1.4% even as whales increased YES positions.
Jul 11
Breaking
US Iran blockade odds jump 18pp to 39.5% with $94K whale support
Whales boosted the 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?' market alongside a sharp price rise, signaling renewed conviction.
Jul 11
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds drop 18pp amid whale-price divergence
Whales bought $39K in YES contracts even as Polymarket’s YES price fell sharply to 36.5%.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran non-attack odds on Hormuz ships plunge 24.4 points as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s ‘Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?’ YES contract dropped from 26.0% to 1.6% despite whale activity moving against the price trend.
Jul 11
Whales
Whales Net $668K Into YES on Switzerland World Cup Win at 1.7% Market Price
332 whales bought $1.48M against $741K sold as total volume hits $124.78M with nine days to close.
Jul 11