Breaking
‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?’ YES price jumps 69.3 points on whale buying
Whales pushed $5K net into YES as Polymarket odds surged from 3.5% to 72.9% in 24 hours, signaling rapid repricing.
Jul 12
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Iran Shipping Attack Odds Surge 18.1pp to 21.8% on Polymarket
Whale activity tracked the sharp rise in probability for Iran targeting shipping on July 11, pushing the market higher alongside increased volume.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds surge 82.9 pp to 86.4% with whale buying
Whales aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in Polymarket odds for Iran targeting shipping on July 12.
Jul 12
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on 40 ships transiting Hormuz drops 31pp amid whale flow divergence
The market’s YES contract fell from 70.5% to 39.5% despite whales not supporting the move, signaling mixed sentiment.
Jul 12
Breaking
Brittany Mahomes Attendance Odds Surge 17.7 Points on Polymarket, Whale Buys Support Move
The YES price on Brittany Mahomes attending Taylor Swift's wedding jumped to 83.7% alongside $2K net whale inflows, reflecting strong alignment between price and large trader activity.
Jul 12
Breaking
US blockade on Iran odds jump 20pp to 51.5%, whales back the move with $23K net flow
Polymarket’s “Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?” saw a sharp rise in YES price accompanied by strong whale buying activity.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 60pp to 68.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with sharp 24-hour jump in probability for Gulf State conflict
Jul 12
Whales
$2.10M net whale inflow into YES on Switzerland World Cup win at 0.05% price
Whales bought $7.15M vs $2.93M sold in last 24h, diverging sharply from market odds on Switzerland's 2026 World Cup chances
Jul 12
Whales
Whales pour $317K into Norway World Cup win despite 0.05% market price
Large trader activity contrasts sharply with low market-implied odds in Norway’s 2026 FIFA World Cup chances.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds surge 86pp to 89.4% with whale buying support
Whale activity aligned with a sharp jump in Polymarket odds for Iran targeting shipping on July 12.
Jul 12