“Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?” YES price drops 32pp to 57%
A sharp 32 percentage point decline in the YES price contrasts with whale flow, which diverged from the market move.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
A sharp 32 percentage point decline in the YES price contrasts with whale flow, which diverged from the market move.
Sharp decline in YES price contrasts with whale flow, signaling diverging trader views ahead of deadline.
Whale activity diverged sharply from market prices as YES odds dropped from 26.6% to 6.9% on July 9
While the YES contract for Count Binface in the Clacton by-election fell sharply, whale trading diverged from the price move, signaling a split in market sentiment.
Polymarket’s Clacton by-election market shifts sharply lower on second place probability as whale flow diverges from price move.
Price on Polymarket fell sharply from 79.5% to 40.5% despite whale flow moving against the shift.
Whale flow diverged from sharply falling YES contract price, signaling conflicting market signals on US MOU withdrawal.
Polymarket’s price for Count Binface finishing second falls sharply despite whale buying, signaling a complex market reassessment.
Whales added $4K to YES contracts even as Polymarket prices the GPT model debut significantly lower.
Whales bought $6K into YES even as Polymarket’s price fell from 21.3% to 2.0%, signaling conflicting signals on the event’s likelihood.