Breaking
Burna Boy World Cup halftime show odds surge 19.9pp to 98.4% on Polymarket
Whales added $4K to YES contracts as the market sharply repriced the likelihood of Burna Boy performing in 2026.
Jul 9
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Bitcoin $60K July dip odds fall 15pp to 55.5% as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s “Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?” market saw a sharp 15pp drop in YES price amid opposing whale activity.
Jul 9
Breaking
AI model hitting 1550 Math Arena Score by 2026 odds jump 16pp to 47.5% on Polymarket
Whales added $3K net into YES contracts as market price rose sharply, though Polydata's mid-price remains far higher at 87%.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran MOU Withdrawal Odds Drop 20.5pp Despite Whale Bets
Polymarket's 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?' market slashed YES price from 22.5% to 2.0%, even as whale flow opposed the move.
Jul 9
Breaking
Bitcoin $60K July dip odds drop 17.5pp as whale flow diverges from price
Polymarket's 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?' market saw YES price fall from 70.0% to 52.5% despite whale activity moving against the trend.
Jul 9
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?” YES price falls 19.5 pp despite $3K whale buys
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 24-hour price drop, signaling mixed conviction in the market’s outlook.
Jul 9
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 17, 2026 Release Odds Drop 24.1pp to 7.2% on Polymarket
Whale buying diverged from sharp price decline, signaling mixed sentiment ahead of the July 17 release date.
Jul 9
Breaking
Odds for Iran MOU withdrawal by July 10 plunge 26.1 pp to 1.5% on Polymarket
Whale trading diverged sharply from the steep drop in YES contract price, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 9
Breaking
Trump UFO declassification odds drop 16pp despite $3K whale buys
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 16 percentage point decline in the YES price for Trump UFO files market.
Jul 9
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro July 17 Release Contract YES Price Drops 29.3pp Despite Whale Buying
Whales increased their net $4K YES bets even as Polymarket’s YES price fell sharply from 41.1% to 11.8% in 24 hours.
Jul 9