Breaking
Iran Shipping Attack Odds Surge 86.1 Points Amid Whale Buying
Whale net inflows of $6K matched a sharp rise in the chance Iran targets shipping on July 12, pushing YES price to 89.5%.
Jul 12
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Russia capturing Kostyantynivka odds jump 33 pp to 66.5% with whale support
Whales contributed $18K net buying as Polymarket YES price for Kostyantynivka capture surged sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
Russia capturing Kostyantynivka odds jump 35.5 pp to 69% on Polymarket
Whales aligned with price action, adding $13K net to YES as market sharply reprices
Jul 12
Breaking
Odds for 40 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026 drop 36.5 pp in 24h
The YES contract price plunged from 70.5% to 34.0% despite whale flow moving against the drop, signaling a sharp market reassessment.
Jul 12
Breaking
Russia capture Kostyantynivka odds jump 26pp to 59.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price shifts moved in tandem as the market sharply repriced the likelihood of capture by July 31.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?” YES price jumps 79.8 pp to 83.2% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp 24-hour repricing with $5K net flow into YES contracts amid $11K total volume.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action market jumps 66.5pp to 76% as whales back the move
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?” contract surged from 9.5% to 76%, with whale flow supporting the sharp repricing.
Jul 12
Breaking
‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?’ YES price jumps 69.3 points on whale buying
Whales pushed $5K net into YES as Polymarket odds surged from 3.5% to 72.9% in 24 hours, signaling rapid repricing.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Shipping Attack Odds Surge 18.1pp to 21.8% on Polymarket
Whale activity tracked the sharp rise in probability for Iran targeting shipping on July 11, pushing the market higher alongside increased volume.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 60.5pp to 70% on July 12 on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with sharp repricing as market shifts from 9.5% to 70% probability in 24 hours
Jul 12