Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Plunge 30.7 Points in 24 Hours on Polymarket
Despite a sharp 30.6 pp drop in YES price, whale activity diverged by not backing the decline in SpaceX launch odds.
Jul 12
#%spolymarket
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds surge 82.9 pp to 86.4% with whale buying
Whales aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in Polymarket odds for Iran targeting shipping on July 12.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 70.5 points to 80% as whales back surge
Whale activity matched a sharp repricing in the Polymarket market on Iran's potential Gulf military action July 12
Jul 12
Breaking
YES price surges 78.2 pp to 81.8% on ‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?’
Whales bought $5K net into YES, aligning with the sharp 24-hour price jump on Polymarket.
Jul 12
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on 40 ships transiting Hormuz drops 31pp amid whale flow divergence
The market’s YES contract fell from 70.5% to 39.5% despite whales not supporting the move, signaling mixed sentiment.
Jul 12
Breaking
Brittany Mahomes Attendance Odds Surge 17.7 Points on Polymarket, Whale Buys Support Move
The YES price on Brittany Mahomes attending Taylor Swift's wedding jumped to 83.7% alongside $2K net whale inflows, reflecting strong alignment between price and large trader activity.
Jul 12
Breaking
US blockade on Iran odds jump 20pp to 51.5%, whales back the move with $23K net flow
Polymarket’s “Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?” saw a sharp rise in YES price accompanied by strong whale buying activity.
Jul 12
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds drop 20pp despite $41K whale buy flow
Whale buying on the US-Iran diplomatic meeting market diverged from a sharp 20pp decline in YES price over 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? YES price jumps 19.5 pp
Whale activity supported a sharp 24-hour rise in the market's probability to 66.0%.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 60pp to 68.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with sharp 24-hour jump in probability for Gulf State conflict
Jul 12