Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 33.5 points to 44% on July 12 news
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?” contract saw aligned whale bets and price surge, signaling a sharp reassessment of the risk.
Jul 12
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 115 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12? YES odds jump 38.5 percentage points
Polymarket's YES contract for Iranian military action nearly quintupled in probability as whale activity confirmed the sharp move.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 58pp to 67.5% on July 12 Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp repricing of the Iran military action market, pushing YES probability from 9.5% to 67.5%.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 52pp to 61.5% on July 12 Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with a sharp 52-point jump in market odds to 61.5%, signaling increased conviction of imminent conflict.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Military Action Odds Jump 59.5 Points to 69% on Polymarket
Whale activity moved in line with a sharp rise in the probability of Iranian military action against a Gulf State on July 12.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action market jumps 66.5pp to 76% as whales back the move
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?” contract surged from 9.5% to 76%, with whale flow supporting the sharp repricing.
Jul 12
Breaking
YES price surges 78.2 pp to 81.8% on ‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?’
Whales bought $5K net into YES, aligning with the sharp 24-hour price jump on Polymarket.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds jump 86 pp to 89.5% with whale buying
Whales and retail traders pushed the “Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?” market from 3.4% to 89.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 62.5 points to 77% on July 12 Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with sharp repricing as the market rapidly adjusted to heightened conflict risk.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Shipping Attack Odds Surge 26.2 Points on Polymarket as Whale Bets Align
The market for Iran targeting shipping on July 11 rose from 4.6% to 30.8% amid whale activity matching the price move.
Jul 11