Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 32pp to 66.5% on Polymarket
Whale trading echoed the rapid rise in probability for Iran’s military action against a Gulf State on July 12.
Jul 12
#%siran
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 115 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action on July 12? YES price jumps 82.5 points to 90.5%
Whale activity matched the sharp shift in odds, signaling strong conviction behind the rapid repricing.
Jul 12
Breaking
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31? YES odds jump 16 pp to 40.5%
Whale activity and market prices moved in tandem as the probability of US sanction relief on Iranian oil surged on Polymarket.
Jul 12
Breaking
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31? YES price jumps 22.5 pp to 47.0%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp odds shift signaling growing market confidence in sanction relief by end of July.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 80pp to 86.5% on Polymarket
Whale bets reinforced a sharp shift in expectations for Iran's military move, with contract prices jumping from 6.5% to 86.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Hormuz attack contract YES price plunges 22pp to 1.5% despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from a sharp market sell-off as Polymarket traders slashed odds on Iran abstaining from attacks by Sunday.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Military Action Odds Surge 76 Points to 83.5% on Polymarket
Whale trades and price moves aligned as markets sharply repriced the likelihood of Iranian military action on July 12.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 70pp to 77.5% with whale support
Polymarket’s ‘Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?’ contract jumps sharply as whale activity aligns with price move.
Jul 12
Breaking
US blockade on Iran odds jump 23.5pp as whales push $26K into YES
Polymarket’s contract on a US blockade of Iran by August 31 saw its YES price rise from 31.5% to 55.0%, driven by aligned whale buying.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Shipping Attack Odds Surge 91 Points as Whales Back YES by $11K
Whale buying aligned with a massive jump from 2.2% to 93.2% in the market on Iran targeting shipping July 12.
Jul 12