Breaking
Odds Iran Will Withdraw from MOU by July 10 Drop 15pp to 1.5% on Polymarket
Sharp decline in YES price contrasts with whale flow, signaling diverging trader views ahead of deadline.
Jul 9
#%siran
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 115 stories.
Breaking
Iran MOU Withdrawal Odds Drop 20.5pp Despite Whale Bets
Polymarket's 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?' market slashed YES price from 22.5% to 2.0%, even as whale flow opposed the move.
Jul 9
Breaking
Odds for Iran MOU withdrawal by July 10 plunge 26.1 pp to 1.5% on Polymarket
Whale trading diverged sharply from the steep drop in YES contract price, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 9
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 18.1 pp as whale flow bucks price move
Polymarket’s ‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?’ market saw YES contract slip from 21.9% to 3.9% despite $8K whale buying in 24 hours.
Jul 9
Whales
@elmcap2 places $814K bet against 0.30% market odds on Iran MOU withdrawal
The trader’s $814K buy on a longshot outcome joins $1.23M whale buying in a market totaling $1.27M in volume.
Jul 8