Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Jumps 40.5 Points as Whale Bets Support Rally
The probability of Iran taking military action against a Gulf State on July 9 rose sharply to 54.5%, backed by aligned whale trading.
Jul 11
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 115 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? YES odds jump 49.1 pp to 62.9%
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract saw a sharp rise in odds with whale activity confirming the move.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Jumps 23.2 Points to 37% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with the sharp 24-hour rise in odds for Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 41.5pp to 54.6% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp jump in probability for Iran's July 9 Gulf military action market, signaling growing conviction.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran military action odds plunge 24pp despite whale buying on Polymarket
YES contract for Iran military action on July 10 dropped from 27.5% to 3.5% while whales increased exposure.
Jul 10
Breaking
Polymarket odds for Iran Gulf military action drop 15.2 points despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from the price as market odds for Iranian military action against a Gulf State slid from 20.0% to 4.8% in 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 72.3 pp as whale flow diverges
YES price for Iran military action on July 9 dropped from 84.5% to 12.2% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Jul 10
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on Iran Gulf action plunges 87.4 pp despite whale selling
Whale flow diverged sharply from price as the market for Iran military action on July 9 collapsed from 88.5% to 1.1% in 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds collapse 92.5 pp despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from a steep 24-hour drop in the Iran Gulf military action market, signaling conflicting trader signals.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran military action on July 9? YES price plunges 61.6pp amid opposing whale flow
Despite a sharp 61.6 percentage point drop in YES odds, whale activity diverged by not supporting the sell-off in the Iran military action market.
Jul 10