Breaking
‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?’ YES price jumps 69.3 points on whale buying
Whales pushed $5K net into YES as Polymarket odds surged from 3.5% to 72.9% in 24 hours, signaling rapid repricing.
Jul 12
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
PMX Index
PMX composite at 31.9 signals deep risk-off mood, crypto and politics hit 40-day lows
Polydata’s exclusive PMX index reveals uneven market activity with crypto and political sub-indices at their weakest in over a month.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Shipping Attack Odds Surge 18.1pp to 21.8% on Polymarket
Whale activity tracked the sharp rise in probability for Iran targeting shipping on July 11, pushing the market higher alongside increased volume.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 60.5pp to 70% on July 12 on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with sharp repricing as market shifts from 9.5% to 70% probability in 24 hours
Jul 12
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Plunge 30.7 Points in 24 Hours on Polymarket
Despite a sharp 30.6 pp drop in YES price, whale activity diverged by not backing the decline in SpaceX launch odds.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds surge 82.9 pp to 86.4% with whale buying
Whales aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in Polymarket odds for Iran targeting shipping on July 12.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 70.5 points to 80% as whales back surge
Whale activity matched a sharp repricing in the Polymarket market on Iran's potential Gulf military action July 12
Jul 12
Breaking
YES price surges 78.2 pp to 81.8% on ‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?’
Whales bought $5K net into YES, aligning with the sharp 24-hour price jump on Polymarket.
Jul 12
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on 40 ships transiting Hormuz drops 31pp amid whale flow divergence
The market’s YES contract fell from 70.5% to 39.5% despite whales not supporting the move, signaling mixed sentiment.
Jul 12
Breaking
Brittany Mahomes Attendance Odds Surge 17.7 Points on Polymarket, Whale Buys Support Move
The YES price on Brittany Mahomes attending Taylor Swift's wedding jumped to 83.7% alongside $2K net whale inflows, reflecting strong alignment between price and large trader activity.
Jul 12