Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Collapse 48.3 Points in 24 Hours
Polymarket’s “Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?” market dropped from 48.8% to 0.45% despite no whale buying in YES contracts.
Jul 12
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12? YES odds jump 38.5 percentage points
Polymarket's YES contract for Iranian military action nearly quintupled in probability as whale activity confirmed the sharp move.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?” YES price surges 90.6 pp to 92.9% on whale support
Whales backed a dramatic odds shift on Polymarket as the YES contract jumped from 2.3% to 92.9% in 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Drop 15pp Despite Whale Selling
Polymarket’s market for a July 15 launch of Starship Flight Test 13 fell from 15.5% to 0.45% in 24 hours, while whale flow diverged by net selling YES contracts.
Jul 12
Breaking
US Iran blockade odds jump 27.5 points as whales back YES with $25K net flow
Polymarket's price for a US blockade on Iran by August 31 rose sharply, driven by whale buying that moved in step with the price surge.
Jul 12
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds plunge 37.2 pp in 24 hours on Polymarket
YES contract price drops from 37.7% to 0.45% despite no whale buying, signaling market skepticism.
Jul 12
Breaking
Odds Jump 15.8pp to 40% on Strait of Hormuz Transit Market in 24h
Whale activity tracked the sharp rise in YES price, signaling aligned conviction on July 31 transit estimates.
Jul 12
Breaking
Yes price on Brittany Mahomes attending Swift wedding jumps 22.9 points with whale support
Whales added net $2K to YES as Polymarket's odds surged from 64.0% to 87.0% in 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
US blockade on Iran odds jump 24pp to 55.5% as whales boost YES bets
Polymarket's latest pricing shows a sharp shift in expectations, backed by $24K net whale inflows into YES contracts.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 58pp to 67.5% on July 12 Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp repricing of the Iran military action market, pushing YES probability from 9.5% to 67.5%.
Jul 12