Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Polymarket’s contract on xAI’s Grok model scoring at least 1460 by end-2026 sharply reprices as whale activity contradicts price movement.
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 53.1 percentage point drop in the probability of Trump signing the housing bill by end of July.
Whale trades diverged from sharp price drop in Polymarket’s “Trump signs housing bill by end of July?” market, highlighting conflicting signals.
Whales added $6K net into YES as Polymarket odds for Google leading in Math AI at July 2026 surged sharply in 24 hours.
Whales backed the sharp 24-hour rise in the probability that Kash Patel will be out by year-end, adding $5K net to YES contracts amid $9K total volume.
Whale activity of $6K net inflow into YES contracts supported a sharp repricing from 12.0% to 53.5% in 24 hours.
Whales have bought $4.37M into Spain’s World Cup win market in the last 24 hours, diverging sharply from the 21.6% market-implied probability.
Polymarket’s contract on Kash Patel’s departure sees a sharp repricing from 40.0% to 57.0%, supported by $8K whale net inflows.
Despite the market pricing Switzerland’s 2026 World Cup win at 1.7%, whales have net bought $683K on the underdog side in the last 24 hours.
Whale activity aligned with a dramatic repricing as BBL Esports’ chances soared from 48.7% to certainty in 24 hours.
