Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds drop 17pp as whale flow diverges from price
Whales added $50K to YES contracts even as Polymarket price for a July 2026 meeting fell sharply from 27.5% to 10.5%.
Jul 11
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
Next GPT model debut odds plunge 86.4pp to 0.80% on Polymarket amid whale divergence
Polymarket’s “Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?” contract dropped sharply despite whales avoiding YES bets.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Surges 22.1 Points to 32% on Polymarket
Whale bets and price moves aligned as the odds of Iranian military action against a Gulf State jumped sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 11
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds plunge 25pp as whale buying diverges from price
Whales bought $56K into YES contracts despite a sharp 25.0pp drop in odds over 24 hours on Polymarket.
Jul 11
Breaking
Google’s Math AI model odds jump 35.5 points to 48% amid whale buying
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in YES price on Polymarket’s Google Math AI market.
Jul 11
Breaking
“US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?” YES price dropped 15 pp despite $51K whale inflow
Whales bought $51K into YES contracts while the market price plunged from 60.5% to 45.5%, signaling a divergence between whale activity and price direction.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran military action market jumps 29.9 points to 43.3% as whales back the move
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract saw coordinated price and whale flow gains, signaling growing conviction.
Jul 11
Breaking
Russia entry into Shevchenko market jumps 15.2 pp to 97.7% as whales add $21K
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise, pushing the market closer to certainty despite on-chain price discrepancy.
Jul 11
Breaking
BBL Esports YES contract jumps 60.2 pp to 100% despite whale selling
Whale activity diverged sharply from a full market repricing on BBL Esports’ chances at EWC 2026.
Jul 11
Breaking
Trump housing bill contract drops 63.2 pp as whale flow diverges from price
Polymarket’s “Trump signs housing bill by end of July?” market plunged from 65.0% to 1.8% despite $9K whale buying in the last 24 hours.
Jul 11