Breaking
“0 ships transit Hormuz by July 14?” YES price jumps 16.9 pp to 19.0% with $13K whale inflow
Whales and overall market moved in tandem as odds climbed sharply from 2.1% to 19.0% in 24 hours.
Jul 12
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
Will Julián Álvarez score at 2026 World Cup? YES odds jump 48.9pp to 100%
Whales supported the rally with $2K net flow into YES as Polymarket price surged from 51.0% to full certainty.
Jul 12
Breaking
US blockade on Iran market YES price jumps 21.0 pp to 42.5% with whale buying support
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 21.0 percentage point rise in the Polymarket market's YES price over 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds drop 22.5 points despite $41K whale buy
Whale flow diverged from sharp 24-hour price decline in Polymarket’s US-Iran diplomatic meeting market.
Jul 12
Breaking
Odds for US blockade on Iran by July 31 jump 23 pp to 45.5% on Polymarket
Whales backed the surge with $144K net buys, aligning with the sharp price rise in the past 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds drop 22pp amid whale flow-price divergence
Whales bought $43K in YES contracts even as the market price fell 22 percentage points in 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?” YES jumps 22 pp to 64% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with a sharp price rise, signaling renewed confidence in a US blockade announcement by year-end.
Jul 12
Breaking
US warship transit through Strait of Hormuz odds jump 25 pp to 54.5%
Polymarket whales increased exposure alongside a sharp price rally in the US naval deployment market.
Jul 12
Breaking
Odds for US warships through Strait of Hormuz rose 30pp to 59.5% in 24h
Whale bets moved in sync with a sharp price jump on Polymarket’s $6K-volume market.
Jul 12
Breaking
YES price on Hormuz ship transit plunges 52.5 points as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s contract on 40 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 2026 saw a sharp repricing amid contrasting whale activity.
Jul 12