Breaking
Polymarket YES price on US Iran blockade jumps 31pp with whale buying support
The market’s rapid 31.0 percentage point rise to 63.0% was matched by $20K net whale inflows, signaling strong conviction in the move.
Jul 12
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds surge 88pp to 92.5% with whale buying on July 12
Whales drove a $4K net inflow into YES as Polymarket odds for Iran targeting shipping on July 12 jumped sharply.
Jul 12
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? YES price drops 27pp in 24h amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket’s YES contract for a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026, fell sharply despite whales buying $41K into YES, signaling a split between price action and whale behavior.
Jul 12
Breaking
Odds for 40 Ships Transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, Drop 30pp in 24h
Whale activity diverged from the sharp price decline, signaling mixed market signals on this maritime transit event.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Shipping Attack Odds Surge 26.2 Points on Polymarket as Whale Bets Align
The market for Iran targeting shipping on July 11 rose from 4.6% to 30.8% amid whale activity matching the price move.
Jul 11
Breaking
US Iran blockade odds jump 19.5 points to 41% with $95K whale buys
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise on Polymarket’s Iran blockade question.
Jul 11
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds drop 22 pp to 34.5% amid whale buying divergence
Whales pumped $43K into YES contracts even as Polymarket prices pulled sharply lower, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 11
Breaking
US Iran blockade market jumps 22.5 points as whales push YES to 44.5%
Whale buying of $95K drove a sharp 24-hour rise in odds for a US blockade on Iran by July 31, aligning with price moves.
Jul 11
Whales
Whales Net $668K Into YES on Switzerland World Cup Win at 1.7% Market Price
332 whales bought $1.48M against $741K sold as total volume hits $124.78M with nine days to close.
Jul 11
Breaking
Berlin CDU election odds drop 15pp as whale bets diverge from price move
Whales bought $6K in YES contracts even as Polymarket’s price for CDU winning Berlin slid from 23.0% to 8.0%.
Jul 11