Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds surge 32.2 pp to 58.6% with whale buying support
Whales contributed $4K net into YES as Polymarket traders sharply repriced the likelihood of Iran targeting shipping on July 13.
Jul 12
#%swhale activity
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 90 stories.
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?” YES price jumps 87.8 pp to 91.2% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp repricing with $12K net buys amid $23K total 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in the outcome.
Jul 12
Whales
Whales add $1.97M to Switzerland World Cup 2026 YES at 0.05% market price
Large traders increased exposure to Switzerland’s 2026 World Cup win despite near-zero market odds, signaling a rare divergence.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds jump 88.8 pp to 91.0% as whales back YES
Whale activity and a rapid price surge aligned as the market repriced the chance of an Iranian attack on shipping on July 12.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Surges 67.5 Points as Whale Activity Supports Rally
The probability of Iran launching military action against a Gulf State on July 12 soared to 74.5% amid aligned whale buying and rising volume.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?” YES price surges 90.6 pp to 92.9% on whale support
Whales backed a dramatic odds shift on Polymarket as the YES contract jumped from 2.3% to 92.9% in 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
Russia capture Kostyantynivka odds jump 26pp to 59.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price shifts moved in tandem as the market sharply repriced the likelihood of capture by July 31.
Jul 12
Breaking
Brittany Mahomes Attendance Odds Surge 17.7 Points on Polymarket, Whale Buys Support Move
The YES price on Brittany Mahomes attending Taylor Swift's wedding jumped to 83.7% alongside $2K net whale inflows, reflecting strong alignment between price and large trader activity.
Jul 12
Whales
$2.10M net whale inflow into YES on Switzerland World Cup win at 0.05% price
Whales bought $7.15M vs $2.93M sold in last 24h, diverging sharply from market odds on Switzerland's 2026 World Cup chances
Jul 12
Breaking
US blockade on Iran market jumps 19pp as whales push YES to 40.5%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 19.0 percentage point rise in YES price on Polymarket, signaling increased conviction in a blockade announcement by July 31.
Jul 12