Breaking
“Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?” YES price jumps 37.2 pp to 99.2% on whale buying
Whales added $1.11M net into YES as Polymarket prices surged from 62.0% to near certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 20
#%swhale activity
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 90 stories.
Breaking
Rodri’s Golden Ball odds leap 95 points to 100% on Polymarket as whales buy $225K
The market on Rodri winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup Golden Ball soared from 5.0% to certainty alongside $225K whale net inflow.
Jul 19
Breaking
Messi Silver Ball Odds Surge 95.8 Points as Whales Move Against the Rally
The market on Lionel Messi winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup Silver Ball jumped from 4.2% to 100%, while whales increased bets on NO by $10K, diverging from price action.
Jul 19
Breaking
Rodri’s Golden Ball Odds Surge 94.8 Points to 100% on Polymarket
Whales added $202K to YES contracts as the market price jumped from 5.1% to certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Dplus Kia YES price surges 71pp to 100% on Polymarket with whale flow support
Whales added $24K to YES contracts as market fully repriced Dplus Kia’s chances in EWC League of Legends Tournament.
Jul 19
Breaking
Mbappe Top Scorer Odds Surge 51pp to 92.5% on Polymarket as Whales Back Move
Whale activity of $581K net inflow into YES contracts accompanied a sharp 24-hour rise in Mbappe top scorer odds to 92.5%.
Jul 19
Breaking
Kareem Allam’s 2026 Vancouver mayoral win odds drop 20pp to 31.5% despite $4K whale buy-in
Polymarket’s price on Allam winning Vancouver’s 2026 mayoral race fell sharply while whale activity pushed in the opposite direction, signaling market uncertainty.
Jul 19
Breaking
Claude Opus model release odds jump 24.5pp to 53.0% ahead of July 22, 2026
Whale activity matched a sharp 24-hour repricing that pushed yes contract price above 50% on Polymarket.
Jul 18
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 YES price jumps 17.1pp to 90.1% as whales back the move
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise, pushing the launch probability from 73.0% to 90.1%.
Jul 17
Breaking
Ethereum $2,000 July Market YES Price Drops 15pp Despite $16K Whale Buy
Whales increased their YES bets by $16K even as the market price for Ethereum hitting $2,000 in July fell sharply from 47.5% to 32.5%.
Jul 17