Breaking
Iran MOU Withdrawal Odds Jump 15.5pp to 27% as Whale Buys Support Rally
Whales added $14K net to YES as Polymarket’s price for Iran withdrawal by July 24 climbs sharply, signaling growing conviction.
Jul 13
#%swhale activity
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 90 stories.
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds jump 25.7 points to 47.9% with whale support
Polymarket’s “Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?” market sees price and whale flow rise in tandem, signaling growing conviction.
Jul 13
Breaking
Odds Russia will capture Kostyantynivka by July 31 drop 15.5 pp to 40% on Polymarket
Whale activity diverges from price move as market odds fall sharply in 24 hours on Kostyantynivka capture question
Jul 13
Breaking
US blockade on Iran by July 31? YES odds drop 21 pp despite $101K whale buying
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 21-point drop in YES price, signaling conflicting forces in the market.
Jul 13
Whales
Whales Load $356K on France to Win 2026 World Cup Despite 38.9% Market Price
Whale buying diverges from market odds as $115.47M traded on World Cup Winner event with eight days to close.
Jul 13
Breaking
Odds McConnell Will Step Down Before Term End Drop 24.5 Points Despite $27K Whale Bets
Whale buying diverges from sharply falling YES price on McConnell resignation market, signaling conflicting signals in trader behavior.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?” YES price falls 17pp despite $22K whale buying
Polymarket’s YES price dropped from 59.5% to 42.5% in 24 hours while whales accumulated $22K, revealing a divergence between price and whale flow.
Jul 13
Breaking
Will Gracie Abrams attending Taylor Swift’s wedding jumps 15.7pp to 97.3% on Polymarket
Whales pushed $4K into YES contracts, reinforcing a sharp 24-hour price rise on the celebrity event market.
Jul 13
Whales
$285K Net Whale Flow into YES on Argentina World Cup Win Against 17.9% Market Price
Whales have pushed $285K net into YES bets for Argentina despite a market-implied probability of just 17.9%, highlighting divergence between big traders and the broader market.
Jul 13
Whales
Whales Push $305K into England Win at 21.6% Despite Market Skepticism
Large traders’ $305K net buy contrasts with the market’s 21.6% implied probability for England’s 2026 World Cup victory.
Jul 13