Breaking
Odds for Sabrina Carpenter at 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime drop 50pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket price for Sabrina Carpenter's halftime show appearance fell from 86.9% to 36.9% despite $3K whale net buys into YES.
Jul 14
#%sprice movement
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 133 stories.
Breaking
‘Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?’ YES price drops 55.2 pp amid whale flow divergence
YES contract price plunged from 92.9% to 37.6% in 24 hours while whales increased net buys by $36K, signaling conflicting signals on Polymarket.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, plunge 49.9 pp on Polymarket
Despite a sharp drop in YES price, whale buying diverged by adding $36K to YES contracts over 24 hours
Jul 14
Breaking
YES price on 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz drops 44.3pp to 48.5% amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket’s price for 30 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, fell sharply despite whales increasing YES positions, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 14
Breaking
“US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?” YES price drops 46.5 points on diverging whale flow
Polymarket’s market on US charging Hormuz fees sees a sharp 46.5 pp drop in YES price while whale bets diverge from the price move.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel military exemption for Yeshiva students YES price jumps 73.5pp to 82%
Whales added $11K to YES bets as Polymarket odds surged from 8.5% to 82% in 24 hours, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 2026 plunge 46.4pp on Polymarket
YES contract price halved amid a sharp divergence between whale buying and market pricing, signaling conflicting signals in trader sentiment.
Jul 14
Breaking
“US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 45.1pp to 4.3% amid divergent whale flow
Polymarket’s contract on US imposing Hormuz fees saw its YES price collapse from 49.5% to 4.3% in 24 hours despite whale activity opposing the move.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, plunge 54.9 pp on Polymarket
Whale buying flow diverges sharply from a steep drop in YES contract price, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026 drop 60.8pp in 24h
Whale activity diverged sharply from price, with $32K net inflow into YES as market price plunged from 95.3% to 34.5%.
Jul 14