The market “Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” saw a sharp 40.0 percentage point increase in its YES price over the past 24 hours, climbing from 36.5% to 76.5% on Polymarket Breaking feed. This significant repricing reflects rapidly shifting expectations about the public sale’s success.
Whale activity aligned with this price move, with a net $14K flowing into YES contracts over the same period. Whale buy volume totaled $29K, while sell volume was $15K across 61 unique whales. This flow synchronization with the price suggests that large traders are reinforcing the market’s bullish stance on the $30 million funding threshold being met.
Polymarket’s 24-hour volume for this market reached $26K, contributing to a lifetime market volume of $44K with participation from 100 unique traders. Notably, the Polymarket Breaking YES price at 76.5% differs substantially from the Polydata on-chain mid-price of 54.0%, indicating a divergence between the market’s immediate pricing and the broader on-chain snapshot.
The combined surge in price and supportive whale flow signals growing confidence in the Credible public sale surpassing $30 million. This repricing and flow pattern mark a notable shift in market sentiment, suggesting participants are increasingly convinced of the outcome’s likelihood based on recent developments and large-scale trader positioning.
| Market | Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2845812 |
| 24h price change | +40.0 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 76.5% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 36.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 54.0% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $14K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $29K / $15K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 61 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $26K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 100 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-14. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.