Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 71pp to 90% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price movement aligned sharply as market reprices the likelihood of a meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 13
#%sprice-move
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 533 stories.
Breaking
“Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?” YES price falls 18pp as whale flow diverges
Whales bought $26K in YES contracts while Polymarket’s price dropped from 58.0% to 40.0%, signaling conflicting signals.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 58pp to 83.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with sharp price jump, signaling strong market conviction in a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July dip contract surges 15.5pp with $16K whale buying
Whales and price moved in sync as the market jumped from 76.0% to 91.5% YES probability in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Russia Capture of Kostyantynivka Odds Drop 24pp Despite $27K Whale Buy-In
Polymarket's contract on Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by July 31 saw YES price fall from 66.5% to 42.5%, with whale flow diverging from the price move.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?” YES price jumps 49.3 pp to 59.7%
Whales backed the sharp rise with $6K net flow into YES as market odds swung dramatically in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Gracie Abrams attending Taylor Swift wedding contract jumps 17.4 pp to 99.1%
Whales contributed $6K net buying as the market price surged from 81.6% to near certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July Dip Contract Jumps 15.5 Points Amid Whale Buying
Bitcoin dip market on Polymarket saw a sharp 15.5 pp rise in YES price, backed by $14K whale net inflow.
Jul 13
Breaking
‘Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?’ YES odds jump 16pp to 76%
Whale activity aligned with the price surge, reinforcing the shift in market sentiment on Polymarket.
Jul 13
Breaking
US blockade on Iran market slips 17pp as whales buy against price trend
Polymarket's 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?' YES contract fell from 49.5% to 32.5%, while whale buying surged $113K.
Jul 13