Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?” YES price jumps 33.4 pp to 56.0% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with the sharp rise in odds, signaling increased conviction behind the event's likelihood.
Jul 13
#%sprice-move
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 533 stories.
Breaking
US Iran blockade market surges 68.3 points as whales push YES to 99.9%
Polymarket’s contract on a US blockade of Iran by July 31 jumps sharply with strong whale buying supporting the rally.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?” YES price surges 69.5pp to 100%
Whale buying aligned with a near-total repricing on Polymarket, signaling a sharp shift in market conviction.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action market jumps 28.5 points as whale flow backs surge
YES price on Iran military action against a Gulf State rises from 41.0% to 69.5% with aligned whale buying
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 47pp to 65.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity matched sharp price rise as market reassesses diplomatic prospects by July 14, 2026.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July Dip Contract Surges 22.7pp to 98.2% on Polymarket
Whales backed the sharp price rise with $23K net inflow, aligning with a surge in market conviction.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July Dip Contract Jumps 20.2pp as Whales Add $17K
The market for Bitcoin dipping to $62,500 in July surged to 95.2% YES price as whale activity confirmed the move with $25K buys.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 59pp to 78% ahead of July 14 deadline
Whale activity and price shifts aligned as Polymarket reevaluated the likelihood of a meeting by mid-July 2026.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 65pp to 84% on Polymarket
Whale activity tracked with price surge as market sharply reprices likelihood of meeting by July 14, 2026
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 68pp to 87% on Polymarket
Whale bets and price action aligned as the market sharply repriced the likelihood of talks by July 14, 2026.
Jul 13