Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 45.5 points to 79% on Polymarket
Whale activity and market prices climbed in tandem, signaling a sharp reassessment of conflict risk on July 13.
Jul 13
#%sprice-move
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 533 stories.
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July dip odds jump 20.5pp to 94.5% on Polymarket
Whales bought $9K into YES contracts as market price and whale flow moved in sync, pushing odds sharply higher.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?” YES price drops 18pp despite whale outflows
Whale trading diverged from the 18.0pp fall in YES price, signaling mixed signals on Bitcoin's July target.
Jul 13
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July Contract Surges 17.5pp to 73% Backed by $5K Whale Net Flow
Whales and retail traders pushed the Polymarket odds sharply higher amid $8K in 24-hour volume, reflecting renewed confidence in ETH price targets.
Jul 13
Breaking
‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11?’ YES price plunges 20.4 pp as whale flow diverges
Despite a sharp 20.4 percentage point drop in YES price, whale activity did not follow the downward repricing on Polymarket.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? YES price jumps 21.8pp to 34.1%
Whale trading aligned with the 22-point surge in odds, signaling a sharp market reassessment.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12? YES price jumps 41pp to 67.5%
Whale trading aligned with sharp odds shift as market reassesses likelihood of conflict on July 12
Jul 12
Breaking
‘Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift’s wedding?’ YES jumps 30.5 pp to 89%
Whale activity aligned with the sharp price rise, contributing $1K net flow into YES in a $5K volume market.
Jul 12
Breaking
YES price falls 19 pp to 36% on Strait of Hormuz transit market as whale flow diverges
Polymarket's '40 ships transit Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026' contract dropped sharply despite whale activity opposing the move.
Jul 12
Breaking
US blockade on Iran odds jump 17.5 points on Polymarket with $25K whale inflow
Polymarket's contract on a US blockade of Iran by year-end rises from 44.0% to 61.5% amid aligned whale buying.
Jul 12