The Polymarket contract “Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift’s wedding?” saw its YES price climb sharply by 17.4 percentage points over the past 24 hours, rising from 81.6% to 99.1% on July 13, 2026. This substantial increase signals a near consensus among traders that the event will occur.
Whale activity aligned with this price move, with a net flow of $6K into YES contracts. Whale buy volume totaled $10K compared to $4K in sells, spread across 48 unique whales. This strong whale demand supported the price surge, matching the direction of the tape. Total Polymarket volume for this market was $9K in the same period, indicating whales accounted for a significant portion of recent trading.
The market has attracted 250 unique traders and holds a lifetime volume of $64K. The alignment between whale flow and price movement suggests growing confidence on the part of large traders, reinforcing the shift toward near certainty in this outcome.
Combined, the price jump and whale support highlight strong market conviction that Gracie Abrams will attend Taylor Swift’s wedding, reflecting a rapid reassessment of probabilities within a highly traded event.
| Market | Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift’s wedding? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 941758 |
| 24h price change | +17.4 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 99.1% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 81.6% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 99.1% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $6K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $10K / $4K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 48 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $9K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 250 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-13. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.