Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
YES contract for Iran military action on July 15 fell from 58.0% to 16.0% despite $7K whale net buys, signaling conflicting signals between price and whale activity.
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 18.5 percentage point drop in the Yes price for Allam’s victory, signaling conflicting market signals.
YES contract price for Kareem Allam’s 2026 Vancouver mayoral win fell sharply even as whales added $5K net to YES positions, signaling conflicting market signals.
The market price for a US announcement to stop Iran offensive operations by July 24 fell sharply while whale flow opposed the move, signaling conflicting signals in trader behavior.
Polymarket’s “US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?” market saw a sharp 35.5 percentage point drop in YES price over 24 hours while whale activity diverged from the price move.
Whales and retail traders drove a sharp revaluation of Kylian Mbappe’s chances to lead scoring at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Whales increased net buying by $17K, pushing Polymarket odds sharply higher in 24 hours.
Polymarket’s price on Allam winning Vancouver’s 2026 mayoral race fell sharply while whale activity pushed in the opposite direction, signaling market uncertainty.
Among 355,129 wallets, 0x7ebf…4403 leads all with flawless forecasting and $110K volume
Polymarket's 'Iran military action' market saw YES odds fall from 63.0% to 34.0%, with whale activity diverging by adding $5K into YES amid a 24-hour price decline.
