Breaking
Mbappe Top Scorer Market Surges 52pp to 93.5% on Whale Buying
Kylian Mbappe’s odds to be 2026 World Cup top scorer jumped sharply as whales added $544K net to YES positions, aligning with the price rally.
Jul 19
#%sprediction markets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 40pp despite $5K whale buying
Whales bought into the YES side even as market price dropped sharply from 66.5% to 26.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Alibaba AI model odds jump 16.5 points to 61.6% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with price surge as market shifts sharply on Alibaba's AI prospects
Jul 19
Breaking
‘Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?’ YES price jumps 24.8 pp to 99.2%
Whales backed the sharp rise with $18K net inflow into YES contracts amid $44K total daily volume.
Jul 19
Breaking
Max Martin Wedding Market Surges 24.5 Points as Whales Push YES to 56.5%
Whale traders backed the rally in the Polymarket contract on Max Martin attending Taylor Swift's wedding, driving a sharp rise in odds.
Jul 19
Breaking
Israel-Iran ceasefire odds drop 22.5 pp to 39% despite whale selling
Whale activity diverged sharply from price action as market pared back expectations for ceasefire continuation through July 31.
Jul 19
Breaking
US halt on Iran offensive odds plunge 45pp to 4.5% amid whale divergence
Polymarket’s ‘US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?’ market saw a sharp drop in YES price, while whale flow moved opposite the price trend.
Jul 19
Breaking
Israel-Iran ceasefire odds plunge 29pp despite whale buying on Polymarket
Polymarket’s “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?” contract fell from 61.5% to 32.5% even as whales added to YES positions, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 19
Breaking
England 3rd Place Odds Soar 64.5 Points to 100% on Whale Buying
Whales contributed $149K net buying as the market for England finishing 3rd in the 2026 World Cup surged from 35.5% to certainty within 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Iran Gulf State military action odds drop 28.5pp despite $3K whale buying
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?” market saw a sharp 28.5 percentage point decline in YES price, while whales increased exposure by $3K, signaling a divergence between price and whale flow.
Jul 19