The prediction market wallet 0x7ebf…4403 achieved a perfect accuracy rate of 100% across 127 resolved positions, marking it as the sharpest forecaster among 355,129 qualifying wallets with at least 20 resolved markets. This performance stands out not only for its impeccable accuracy but also for the significant $110K volume backing its trades, underscoring the reliability of its predictions.
Measured by Brier score, which evaluates how closely forecast probabilities align with actual outcomes, 0x7ebf…4403 posted an exceptionally low figure of 0.0001, the best in the entire field. This metric prioritizes precision over mere profit, distinguishing genuine forecasting skill from lucky streaks or high-risk bets.
Runners-up also posted 100% accuracy but on fewer resolved positions and lower volume: 0xf43d…a8ba with 76 positions and $105K volume, 0x3b58…eabd with 110 positions and $104K, and 0xf891…319c with 79 positions and $90K. While these wallets showed strong performance, none matched 0x7ebf…4403’s combination of accuracy, volume, and breadth of market resolution.
This ranking filters out wallets with minimal stakes or fewer than 20 resolved positions to focus on meaningful, repeatable forecasting skill. The dominance of 0x7ebf…4403 in both accuracy and volume signals a rare blend of consistent insight and market engagement, making it the leading benchmark for predictive precision this week.
| Wallet | 0x7ebf…4403 |
|---|---|
| Accuracy | 100% |
| Brier score | 0.0001 |
| Resolved positions | 127 |
| Volume | $110K |
Also near-perfect
| Wallet | Accuracy | Positions | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf43d…a8ba | 100% | 76 | $105K |
| 0x3b58…eabd | 100% | 110 | $104K |
| 0xf891…319c | 100% | 79 | $90K |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /oracle/leaderboard · snapshot 2026-07-19. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.