The Polymarket contract “Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?” saw its YES price climb 17.0 percentage points in the last 24 hours, rising from an estimated 82.0% to 99.0% as of July 19, 2026. This sizable increase reflects intensified market conviction on the outcome occurring within the specified timeframe.
Whale activity aligned with this price move, with 66 unique whales contributing to a net flow of $17K into YES contracts. Their buy volume totaled $47K, while sell volume was $29K, signaling more aggressive accumulation than liquidation among large traders.
Since inception, the market has traded $227K in volume across 477 unique traders, indicating steady interest and liquidity. The combined surge in price and whale buying suggests a consensus shift toward expecting Tamas Sulyok’s departure by the end of July.
This coordinated move between price action and whale flow confirms a tightening of market expectations, reinforcing the heightened probability now reflected in the contract’s price.
| Market | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2698250 |
| 24h price change | +17.0 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 99.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 82.0% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 99.0% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $17K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $47K / $29K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 66 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $42K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 477 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-19. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.